Confirmed—the Sun defies all NASA and NOAA predictions—Solar Cycle 25 surges ahead, paving the way for more intense solar storms than anticipated

September 26, 2025
Confirmed—the Sun defies all NASA and NOAA predictions—Solar Cycle 25 surges ahead, paving the way for more intense solar storms than anticipated

The recent discovery of the exoplanet BD+05 4868 has been a major breakthrough, but it should be noted that it is in the process of exoplanetary disintegration. This discovery was made possible by the TESS Telescope, which observed that this disintegrating exoplanet is losing mass at a rate equivalent to that of Mount Everest, and is also leaving behind silicate minerals. Experts Marc Hon and Avi Shporer emphasize the importance of continuing this research.

Official prediction at the end of the solar cycle

At the end of the final solar cycle in 2019, the official forecasting were that the next cycle might be just as mild as its predecessor. Those predictions were not right. Currently, the Solar Cycle 25 became far stronger than NASA and NOAA awaited. At this moment, investigators explain that the Sun’s activity is on an escalating trajectory, outside the boundaries of the 11-year solar cycle. In truth, a recent study of the data proposes that the activity of the Sun has been slowly increasing since 2008.

“All signs were pointing to the Sun going into a prolonged phase of low activity,” says plasma physicist Jamie Jasinski of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). “So it was a surprise to see that trend reversed. The Sun is slowly waking up.”

The Sun seems like a continuous, assuring presence day to day, but it’s indeed equally tempestuous and changeable. One specific modification it goes through is what we call the solar cycle. Every 11 years or so, the Sun expriences a growth in activity to solar maximum before receding again down to solar minimum.

How this activity manifests

This activity manifests as an important increase in sunspots, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections at solar maximum, at which point the Sun’s poles turn back their polarity. It’s all very common; if the number didn’t give it away, we’re right now in the 25th solar cycle on record, which implies that scientists have been paying attention to this happen for centuries now, using sunspots as a proxy to record solar activity.

Nevertheless, even with this wealth of solar cycle data, making a prediction about how the Sun is going to act in a proper way is an inaccurate art. There’s a lot more going on the interior of the Sun than we are privy to, driving modifications that investigators are still trying to give an explanataion.

As an example, for a 70-year period from 1645 to 1715, about no sunspots showed up at all, a period named as the Maunder Minimum. A alike lull occurred among 1790 and 1830, known as the Dalton Minimum.

Solar cycles 22 and 23, starting in 1986 and 1996, respectively, were pretty average in terms of sunspot activity. In spite of this, the solar wind pressure steadily dropped over both cycles, leading investigation to accept as true that we might be headed towards something alike to the Maunder or Dalton events.

What has been alredy studied

Jasinski and his co-wokers, space physicist Marco Velli of JPL, have currently analyzed long-term solar data and achieved something unexpected. In 2008, at the begining of Solar Cycle 24, the solar wind started growing stronger and has kept to increase steadily since then.

Currently, the Sun is a non-common complicated engine, and one thing that’s crystal clear is that it’s really hard to predict what it’s going to do next. Jasinski and Velli have in their minds that their achivements indicate that we could see an uptick in rowdy space weather.

Their results are, in addition, consistent with another notion of the Sun’s behavior: the Hale cycle. This is illustrated by pairs of solar cycles, with every single Hale cycle lasting 22 years, ending when the magnetic poles swap back to their original polarities. A growing body of evidence suggests that the Hale cycle is the primary cycle, and each solar cycle is only half of the full cycle.